After the guest appearance against Champions League winners Real Madrid, Champions League finalist Borussia Dortmund is coming to visit. Along with them are three familiar faces, one of whom may not receive a warm welcome.
Despite the 1–3 defeat at the Bernabeu, there’s already a certain level of euphoria at VfB and among its fans. First win in the league, a comeback on the biggest European stage, and a strong showing against defending champions Real Madrid. The return of the French central defender duo Rouault and Zagadou also gives extra momentum to hopes of a successful season. But with BVB coming — I know, I said something similar last week — this is the toughest challenge of the Bundesliga season so far. Not only are we facing a top European-level opponent, but it will also be an emotional game.
On one hand, record goal-scorer Serhou Guirassy is returning to the Neckar, and he’ll likely be welcomed with thanks and flowers. On the other hand, former captain Waldemar Anton is also returning to Mercedesstraße. The latter already got a taste of what to expect during the European Championship match in Stuttgart: boos and whistles at every ball touch. There are Dortmund fans who, of course, don’t understand why VfB fans hold such a grudge against Anton. After all, it’s not the first time a player has used VfB as a springboard, right? Ironically, it’s probably the same Dortmund fans who made sure Mario Götze had to warm up in the players’ tunnel in 2013/2014 instead of in front of the Südtribüne. But I digress. Like Stuttgart, BVB has also undergone a major overhaul — perhaps an even bigger one. Many familiar faces like Reus, Hummels, and Terzic have left (or had to leave) the club, and many new players are meant to fill the gaps. With Sahin, a new style of football has been brought to Borsigplatz, moving away from Terzic’s conservative defensive play towards a more possession-oriented game. So far, with success. Dortmund is still unbeaten this season and has only dropped points in Bremen.
Nonetheless, I can understand why VfB is still considered — at least according to the betting odds — the favorite going into the game. We’ve won the last three encounters, the injury list is clearing up, the team is finding its rhythm, and we’re playing at home in the Neckarstadion. Dortmund also gives a few arguments for this. Now and then, Dortmund still suffers from the inconsistency of last season. Against Heidenheim, they nearly let a 2–0 lead slip, Bremen couldn’t capitalize on their numerical advantage, and Brugge struggled with missed chances on Wednesday evening.
So, we’re not without a chance. But it won’t be as easy as last year against Borussia.
Team Situation
The good news is that Nartey and newcomer Al-Dakhil may be available again starting next week. Stergiou is also in rehabilitation training and could be an option next week. I’m particularly happy for Nartey. I really hope to see him play in a VfB jersey again, although, given his lack of match practice and training deficit, he won’t exactly be setting the world on fire. However, both will still be unavailable against BVB. Additionally, Justin Diehl joins the list of injured players after dislocating his shoulder in an U21 match.
Possible Starting Line-up
Basically, the same starting XI, although Chase will likely rotate in for Rouault to ease the load on the recently fit Frenchman. Zagadou could also slide in, but I think it’s still too early for him to start. Up front, Demirovic could replace Undav, and Rieder could take Führich’s spot.
Statistics
In 108 Bundesliga encounters, thanks to the two wins last season, VfB has now overtaken Dortmund in head-to-head victories. The current tally is 42:41 wins in favor of the Swabians. Only the goal difference is still ‑8 in favor of Dortmund. VfB has won 28 of their 42 victories at their home Neckarstadion, although home wins against the Black and Yellows have been rare lately. Besides last season’s win, VfB last secured three points at home against Dortmund in 2017 and 2010. Despite Sahin’s offensive approach, Dortmund’s defense remains very strong. With only two goals conceded, they boast the best defense in the league after Union Berlin. This isn’t just due to the strong performances of former VfB player Gregor Kobel in goal, but also because BVB hardly allows any chances. They have conceded the fewest xGoals and, along with Bayern, have allowed the fewest shots on goal.
Conclusion
It’s going to be a tough and emotional game for VfB. BVB is coming to Stuttgart with new strength and confidence, while VfB is just starting to find its form. I think our winning streak against Dortmund will end, and we’ll walk away from this matchday without points.
Picture: © Alexander Hassenstein/Getty Images