All about the next game: Leverkusen at home

After drop­ping more points in Kiel, of all teams, our kryp­to­ni­te is now coming to visit. The mood at VfB befo­re the match against Lever­ku­sen could cer­tain­ly be bet­ter.

It’s fair to say: things aren’t going well for VfB at the moment. And even though it’s still bet­ter than in many of the past sea­sons, in the con­text of the cur­rent high-fly­ing form, this alre­a­dy feels like a full-blown cri­sis. Just one win in the last seven league games, pain­ful home defeats to Glad­bach, Wolfs­burg, and Munich, and frus­t­ra­ting draws against rele­ga­ti­on can­di­da­tes like Hof­fen­heim and Kiel. Kiel, in par­ti­cu­lar, seems to be gna­wing at not just us fans—who had hoped for some reli­ef from the tough match­weeks fea­turing oppon­ents like Munich, Lever­ku­sen, and Frankfurt—but also within the club its­elf.

In Kiel, Sebas­ti­an Hoe­neß made a halft­i­me sub­sti­tu­ti­on for the first time in a long while, and not just one but two key figu­res from last season’s run­ners-up squad: Chris Füh­rich and Deniz Undav. Reports sug­gest that both the locker room talk and the trai­ning speech on Sun­day were far from plea­sant. And as a fan, it’s genui­ne­ly hard to under­stand why the team can’t match the opposition’s inten­si­ty with their own qua­li­ty and show the neces­sa­ry effort to tilt the game in their favor.

I’m curr­ent­ly rea­ding Tho­mas Hitzlsperger’s book Mut­pro­ben, which I got for my bir­th­day, and he tou­ch­es on how quick­ly foot­bal­lers can be aban­do­ned by fans—especially anony­mously on social media. We’re still far from that point, though some recent comm­ents direc­ted at Deniz Undav have come clo­se. Cri­ti­ci­zing a well-paid and expen­si­ve key play­er, whom the coach deci­ded to bench at halft­i­me rather than trust to turn the game around, is cer­tain­ly fair. At the same time, Sebas­ti­an Hoe­neß was abso­lut­e­ly right in his pre-match press con­fe­rence against Lever­ku­sen to put the enti­re team on noti­ce: “We need to push our­sel­ves to the limit, we need to go bey­ond.”

I’m curious to see whe­ther the coach’s inter­nal respon­se or the sheer dis­ap­point­ment over the Kiel result has shar­pe­ned the team’s focus again—though I’ve had that hope seve­ral times recent­ly and been let down each time.

Squad Situation

At least this time, per­son­nel issues aren’t a major con­cern. Al-Dak­hil, Cha­b­ot, and Jeltsch all return to the squad as cen­ter-backs. Daxo Zag­adou and Luca Rai­mund remain long-term absen­tees, while Anrie Cha­se and Niko Nar­tey are (again) inju­red. Addi­tio­nal­ly, Leo Ster­giou is sus­pen­ded for this and the next match due to his red card.

Possible Lineup

Cha­b­ot is a gua­ran­teed star­ter, as is Mit­tel­städt. Al-Dakhil’s pace makes him a cru­cial stop­per against Leverkusen’s attack, though I’m still worried about the right side of defen­se. Vagno­man has been out of form and strug­g­led mas­si­ve­ly against Paris’ quick attackers—not to equa­te Lever­ku­sen direct­ly with that level. Per­haps Jeltsch could be deploy­ed out wide, as he show­ed against Bay­ern that he’s fearless against big names, though I’m not sure if he can actual­ly play that posi­ti­on.

Up front, I expect Deniz Undav to start on the bench, along­side Chris Füh­rich, who also lost his spot in the natio­nal team squad for the upco­ming inter­na­tio­nal break. Sin­ce VfB wants to make Lever­ku­sen feel their Cham­pi­ons League eli­mi­na­ti­on from Tues­day right from the start, I’d field three play­ers along­side ever-pre­sent Nick Wol­te­ma­de who were in strong form in Kiel: goals­co­rers Jamie Lewe­ling and Erme­din Demi­ro­vić, as well as retur­ning for­ward El Bil­al.

Statistics

Unli­ke VfB, Lever­ku­sen has been able to main­tain the level of their title-win­ning sea­son, though they didn’t have to replace three key play­ers. Curr­ent­ly sit­ting in second place, they can almost kiss their title hopes goodbye—just like the Cham­pi­ons League, from which they were eli­mi­na­ted this week. They’ve lost three con­se­cu­ti­ve com­pe­ti­ti­ve matches wit­hout scoring and also went goal­less in two Febru­ary games (0–0 against Wolfs­burg and Munich).

Despi­te that, they still rank near the top in offen­si­ve stats, just behind Bay­ern and ahead of VfB. Patrik Schick and the inju­red Flo­ri­an Wirtz have scored a com­bi­ned 25 goals, with Wirtz also pro­vi­ding 12 assists. Lever­ku­sen also domi­na­tes the league in pos­ses­si­on, pas­sing accu­ra­cy, and even run­ning sta­tis­tics. One thing is clear: if you let Bay­er sett­le into their rhythm, things could get ugly.

Conclusion

And that’s exact­ly what VfB must pre­vent at all cos­ts. Against Bay­ern, they mana­ged to do that—at least for a while in their home match. Just like in that game, the team must work tog­e­ther defen­si­ve­ly with full com­mit­ment to keep their own goal secu­re and act smart­ly in front of the opponent’s goal. But the most important thing is the mind­set: unli­ke last sea­son, not­hing will come easi­ly this time, and a 1–0 lead should not be a reason to relax but rather a moti­va­ti­on to keep pushing.

After the set­back in Kiel, I expect—regardless of the final result—a clear step for­ward, one that will hop­eful­ly be sus­tainable.

Pic­tu­re: © Adam Pretty/Getty Images

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